Jesina vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ISE
1 - 0
JES
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
JES
1 - 1
CAM
40%
25%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
JES
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
JES
0 - 2
SAV
28%
22%
49%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
JES
2 - 1
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |