Jesina vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
JES
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JES
0 - 3
MAT
13%
22%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
JES
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
JES
2 - 2
AVE
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
JES
1 - 1
CAM
32%
26%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
ASD
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 1
PIN
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 2
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 4
SAN
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
LAQ
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |