Jesina vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
JES
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
SAM
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 1
JES
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JES
1 - 2
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
ROM
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
ASD
39%
23%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 0
VIS
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASD
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 3
MAT
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |