Jesina vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
JES
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
JES
3 - 2
CIV
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
JES
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JES
0 - 0
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
3 - 0
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
OLY
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
ROM
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |