Jesina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.5%
72.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PIN
3 - 3
JES
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JES
1 - 3
ASD
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ISE
1 - 0
JES
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
JES
1 - 1
CAM
40%
25%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
JES
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
FOR
82%
14%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
CES
10%
22%
69%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
FRA
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CES
11%
21%
68%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CES
4 - 0
SAM
82%
13%
4%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |