Jerv vs Viking FK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
2º
28
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JER
1 - 1
SSK
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
JER
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
LYS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 4
JER
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Viking FK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 3
VAR
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 1
VIK
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 3
KVI
80%
12%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
VIK
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 3
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |