Jerv vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
2º
41
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 48 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
76.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 40 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 31 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 4
JER
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
FFC
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 3
JER
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 2
JER
46%
23%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LYS
4 - 3
BRA
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ORN
0 - 2
LYS
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LYS
0 - 1
HOD
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
VIK
5 - 1
LYS
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LYS
4 - 3
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |