Jerv vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 1
JER
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
JER
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
JER
6 - 2
ULL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
JER
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
JER
2 - 1
ASA
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FFK
1 - 1
STR
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FLO
4 - 1
FFK
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FFK
2 - 1
TRO
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 1
FFK
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
FFK
1 - 1
KON
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |