Jerv vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
2º
24
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JER
0 - 0
ETO
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
KVI
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 2
JER
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JER
1 - 3
BRA
48%
23%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
SSK
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
FKA
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 6
HOD
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVI
0 - 3
FKA
20%
21%
58%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 3
LYS
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |