Jerv vs Eik Tønsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
2º
33
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
KVI
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 2
JER
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JER
1 - 3
BRA
48%
23%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
JER
30%
23%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
VIK
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Eik Tønsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SSK
1 - 2
ETO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
KVI
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 0
ETO
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |