Jerez vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 1
JER
45%
25%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JER
1 - 1
CAL
40%
26%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 1
JER
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
JER
0 - 2
PLA
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JER
0 - 1
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARR
36%
27%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
EXT
46%
25%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 3
VIL
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
MIA
34%
26%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |