Jerez vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
JER
4 - 0
PLA
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
JER
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
JER
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
MIA
26%
26%
49%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
CHI
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |