Jerez vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PUE
0 - 3
JER
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
JER
1 - 0
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
JER
2 - 0
ARR
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 0
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
JER
2 - 0
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UCL
1 - 1
AZU
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
UCL
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
UCL
3 - 2
UDF
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 3
UCL
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UCL
1 - 1
COR
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |