Jerez vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 2
JER
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
JER
2 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JER
2 - 0
ADL
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIA
0 - 0
JER
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
UDF
2 - 0
JER
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TRU
2 - 2
AZU
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ARR
2 - 1
TRU
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 1
OLI
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 1
UDF
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |