Jerez vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
32.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ECI
1 - 0
JER
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
JER
1 - 0
AGD
31%
32%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 0
JER
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
DBN
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
JER
0 - 1
MAR
38%
30%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
EXT
37%
30%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SEV
1 - 2
RJA
58%
25%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
38%
30%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 1
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |