Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JER
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JER
2 - 2
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 3
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
JER
3 - 1
EXT
69%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CPC
2 - 1
JER
74%
18%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 0
MOR
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EXT
0 - 2
MOR
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |