Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DPC
0 - 3
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JER
3 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
COR
3 - 1
JER
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CDZ
1 - 0
JER
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
JER
2 - 0
DBN
68%
21%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
SNV
70%
20%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDZ
2 - 1
MOR
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDB
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
MOR
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 4
MOR
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |