Jerez vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CDL
0 - 0
JER
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
JER
0 - 1
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 2
JER
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
JER
3 - 0
MOT
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 0
JER
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CDZ
0 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CDZ
1 - 1
CDL
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDZ
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CDZ
2 - 0
TOR
52%
27%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MOT
0 - 2
CDZ
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |