Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Jerez vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
JER
0 - 0
CER
46%
26%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CER
0 - 0
JER
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
JER
19%
26%
55%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 1
AMA
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
JER
24%
27%
49%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
BET
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BET
2 - 0
LOR
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 0
LOR
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -3 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LOR
7 - 1
OLI
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MUL
1 - 4
LOR
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |