Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
JER
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 2
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JER
5 - 1
ADL
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 2
JER
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
JER
3 - 0
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
ADL
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDD
0 - 0
ARR
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 0
ARR
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 2
CAL
26%
25%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |