Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 3
JER
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
JER
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
JER
0 - 1
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
JER
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
JER
3 - 2
ASJ
64%
23%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
MIA
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEG
0 - 0
ARR
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 2
SEG
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 1
CDZ
70%
17%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 2
ARR
9%
17%
75%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |