Jerez vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TOM
2 - 1
JER
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
JER
3 - 3
RJA
37%
31%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ECI
1 - 0
JER
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
JER
1 - 0
AGD
31%
32%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 0
JER
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ARE
1 - 1
EXT
32%
29%
39%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SEV
2 - 1
ARE
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ARE
2 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CDL
1 - 0
ARE
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ARE
4 - 0
LOR
27%
30%
44%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +3 |