Jerez vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
JER
24%
27%
49%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
VAL
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
JER
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
JER
1 - 0
EXT
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DBN
0 - 0
JER
40%
28%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
AZU
20%
24%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
AMA
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
UCL
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 2
AMA
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
COR
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |