Jerez vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
64
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UCL
1 - 0
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 0
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
3 - 0
JER
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JER
0 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 4
JER
28%
25%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 0
UDF
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
ADL
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
ADL
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ADL
0 - 0
TRU
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |