Jerez vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 2
JER
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
JER
3 - 0
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EXT
4 - 1
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JER
2 - 2
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 5
JER
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
ADL
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ADL
1 - 4
CDD
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 2
ADL
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ADL
1 - 0
EXT
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
ADL
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |