Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-4
Jerez FC vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1945 |
SDC
1 - 1
JFC
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
JFC
2 - 2
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
RSO
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 1
JFC
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VCF
9 - 3
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
SAB
1 - 1
VCF
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
CAS
0 - 0
VCF
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
VCF
4 - 0
GRA
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |