Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-4
Jerez FC vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
5%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 2
JFC
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
SPO
46%
21%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
JFC
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
JFC
5 - 1
CUL
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
2 - 2
OVI
69%
16%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 5
SEV
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 2
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |