Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-5
Jerez FC vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
JFC
0 - 1
RSO
37%
22%
41%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VAD
5 - 0
JFC
70%
17%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 0
SPO
38%
22%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
SDC
4 - 1
JFC
64%
18%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
JFC
1 - 2
SAB
49%
22%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SEV
2 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
FCB
3 - 1
SEV
64%
18%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 0
RMA
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
GRA
4 - 3
SEV
41%
23%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |