Jerez FC vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
RSO
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 1
JFC
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
JFC
2 - 0
MLL
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
HER
1 - 2
JFC
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
FCB
5 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 1
SDC
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
RSO
1 - 1
ZAR
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
ZAR
1 - 4
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
MLL
3 - 1
ZAR
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |