Jerez FC vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
7 - 1
JFC
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 0
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 0
JFC
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 1
BET
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 0
ARE
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
7 - 1
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
5 - 1
MUR
51%
21%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |