Jerez FC vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
JFC
3 - 1
ELC
69%
16%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
MAL
4 - 0
JFC
77%
13%
10%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 0
MAL
48%
22%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
JFC
0 - 1
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
64%
19%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 3
MUR
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
30%
21%
49%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
87%
8%
5%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |