Jerez FC vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
ELC
1 - 1
JFC
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
JFC
2 - 1
LEV
75%
15%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
GIM
1 - 1
JFC
31%
23%
47%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
JFC
2 - 1
MAL
73%
15%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
JUP
1 - 0
JFC
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
LEV
4 - 0
MUR
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
CAD
0 - 1
MUR
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
MUR
7 - 0
ELC
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |