Jerez FC vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
RAC
4 - 1
JFC
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
JFC
1 - 0
CUL
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
CEL
6 - 1
JFC
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
JFC
4 - 2
BET
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 2
JFC
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
HER
2 - 0
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
RSO
0 - 0
HER
66%
17%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
HER
0 - 2
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
MLL
3 - 1
HER
37%
23%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
HER
1 - 0
SDC
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |