Jerez FC vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 2
JFC
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
RMA
5 - 3
JFC
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
JFC
1 - 1
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 1
CON
53%
21%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
CON
2 - 1
JFC
63%
19%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
55%
21%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
CAS
8 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
HER
0 - 2
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |