Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-7
Jerez FC vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GRA
4 - 1
JFC
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
JFC
3 - 0
SDC
66%
19%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
BET
2 - 2
JFC
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
JFC
4 - 1
GIM
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
RAC
2 - 1
JFC
70%
16%
13%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 2
HER
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
3 - 2
OVI
49%
20%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |