Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
Jerez FC vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
JFC
0 - 1
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
CAD
2 - 3
JFC
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 2
LEV
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
SAB
3 - 0
JFC
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 1
RCD
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
CAS
6 - 0
MAL
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAD
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
LEV
3 - 0
MAL
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
MAL
2 - 2
SAB
74%
15%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |