Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-8
Jerez FC vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
ATH
6 - 0
JFC
91%
6%
3%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
JFC
3 - 1
BET
29%
22%
48%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
BET
2 - 2
JFC
79%
13%
8%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
CAR
2 - 2
JFC
53%
21%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
JFC
2 - 3
CAD
48%
22%
30%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
ATH
6 - 0
JFC
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ATH
8 - 1
LOG
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LOG
1 - 0
ATH
25%
22%
53%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 2
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
25%
22%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |