Jerez CF vs CD Castuera U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
18º
18º
52
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CPD
2 - 1
JER
62%
18%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
JER
1 - 6
EFE
22%
19%
59%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DBN
4 - 0
JER
75%
14%
11%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 5
CDD
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UPP
5 - 1
JER
66%
17%
17%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castuera U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CSU
4 - 4
CAC
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CPD
1 - 1
CSU
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
2 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EFE
2 - 1
CSU
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
1 - 0
CDM
61%
19%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |