Jennersdorf vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jennersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
STM
0 - 4
JEN
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
JEN
2 - 3
NEU
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
PUR
2 - 1
JEN
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
JEN
1 - 3
STI
59%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 4
JEN
52%
21%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
PAR
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KLI
5 - 3
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAU
4 - 2
FOR
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
PIN
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |