JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
2 - 1
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
3 - 0
MIT
66%
21%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GIF
0 - 0
JEF
14%
25%
61%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 1
JEF
14%
25%
61%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
0 - 1
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 2
KAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
OHS
0 - 2
VVA
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 2
VVA
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
VVA
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 0
ZWE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |