JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
JEF
1 - 1
AVI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
JEF
2 - 1
KAT
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
OIT
0 - 2
JEF
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 2
JEF
18%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
JEF
2 - 0
GIF
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 1
TOK
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
TOK
2 - 0
THE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
TOK
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 1
SAG
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
MIT
0 - 4
TOK
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |