JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
JUB
3 - 1
JEF
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
JEF
1 - 2
KAA
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
NAG
2 - 0
JEF
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
JEF
1 - 0
KAR
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
GAM
1 - 0
JEF
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
TOK
1 - 2
VIS
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
KAW
0 - 0
TOK
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
JUB
2 - 0
TOK
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
TOK
0 - 2
KAA
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
NAG
2 - 2
TOK
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |