JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1993 |
SAN
2 - 1
JEF
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
JEF
3 - 1
CHK
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
JEF
2 - 1
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1986 |
JEF
1 - 0
LIA
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
JEF
2 - 0
ALT
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1993 |
TOK
1 - 2
FCY
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1993 |
WAS
4 - 3
TOK
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
PAS
2 - 1
TOK
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
TOK
3 - 0
PSA
86%
11%
3%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1993 |
TOK
2 - 0
MUH
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |