JEF United vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
KYO
0 - 3
JEF
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JEF
2 - 0
TOK
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GIF
2 - 0
JEF
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JEF
2 - 4
OIT
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
JEF
2 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOC
0 - 1
MAT
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
KAM
1 - 2
TOC
28%
29%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
TOC
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOC
2 - 2
VEN
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OMI
1 - 0
TOC
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |