JEF United vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
URA
1 - 0
JEF
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
JEF
1 - 0
JUB
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
GAM
1 - 2
JEF
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
JEF
2 - 0
NAG
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
SAN
1 - 0
JEF
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
SHO
0 - 3
FLU
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
TOK
0 - 0
SHO
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
TOK
2 - 2
SHO
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
SHO
2 - 1
TOK
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
KAA
3 - 1
SHO
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |