JEF United vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
JEF
3 - 4
NAG
40%
24%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GAM
3 - 0
JEF
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
JEF
1 - 1
SHI
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FCT
1 - 1
JEF
63%
20%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
JEF
0 - 3
FCY
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
FCT
4 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 0
SHI
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 2
FCY
48%
24%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
URA
4 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
KAA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |