JEF United vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
JEF
2 - 2
FCY
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1993 |
GAM
2 - 0
JEF
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
URA
2 - 3
JEF
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
TOK
2 - 1
JEF
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
JEF
5 - 2
NAG
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
KAA
4 - 3
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1993 |
FCY
1 - 2
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
TOK
3 - 0
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
SAN
0 - 2
GAM
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLU
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |