JEF United vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ROA
1 - 1
JEF
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 0
JEF
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
JEF
0 - 2
OIT
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
JEF
2 - 1
FCT
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GIF
1 - 0
JEF
28%
24%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAG
1 - 1
CON
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
CER
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
EHI
0 - 0
SAG
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAG
0 - 0
FAG
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 3
GAM
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |