JEF United vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
JEF
0 - 2
MAC
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VEG
2 - 1
JEF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JEF
1 - 0
TOC
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
JEF
1 - 0
SHI
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 1
JEF
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OMI
1 - 2
MIT
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VEN
5 - 1
OMI
64%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
OMI
1 - 1
VEG
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
IWA
2 - 1
OMI
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FAG
1 - 1
OMI
62%
24%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |