JEF United vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
KAA
0 - 4
JEF
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
URA
2 - 0
JEF
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
JEF
2 - 1
OIT
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
JEF
2 - 0
KYO
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
JEF
3 - 2
KAW
42%
23%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
JUB
2 - 1
OMI
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
KYO
1 - 1
OMI
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
OMI
1 - 4
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
OMI
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VEN
3 - 2
OMI
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |